The best strategy in trading 70% win rate
✅ High-Probability Forex Strategy (60–75% Win Rate Possible)
🧠 Strategy Name: “Trend-Pullback + Confirmation Strategy”
This strategy trades in the direction of the trend, using a pullback, and waits for a confirmation signal before entering. It works best on 4H or Daily charts.
🧰 Tools Needed:
- 50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – identifies trend direction
- Fibonacci Retracement – identifies pullback zones (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%)
- RSI (14) – for momentum confirmation
- Price Action (Pin bar, Engulfing candle) – for entry confirmation
📈 How It Works:
🔹 Step 1: Identify the Trend
Use the 50 EMA:
- If price is above the 50 EMA and sloping upward → Uptrend
- If price is below and sloping down → Downtrend
Only trade in the direction of the trend.
🔹 Step 2: Wait for a Pullback
Once the trend is confirmed, wait for a pullback to one of the key Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%).
🔹 Step 3: Look for Confirmation
At the Fibonacci level:
- Check if RSI is crossing back toward trend direction
- Wait for a bullish pin bar (in uptrend) or bearish engulfing (in downtrend)
🔹 Step 4: Entry & Stop Loss
- Entry: After candle close confirmation
- Stop loss: Below the swing low (in uptrend), or swing high (in downtrend)
- Take Profit: At least 2:1 reward-to-risk or key resistance/support zone
📊 Example Win Rate
If applied with:
- Only trading major pairs during London/New York sessions
- Proper risk/reward (at least 2:1)
- No emotional or revenge trades
This strategy can reach 65–75% win rate over time with consistent execution.
❗ Final Note:
Trying to chase a “90% win rate” can lead to overconfidence, overtrading, and poor risk management. Even profitable traders lose 3–4 trades out of 10—what matters is your overall edge, risk management, and emotional control.
